1. Type in how many people are estimated to be at the event (from 10 to 100,000).
2. Select a time frame for what constitutes 'active infections' (past 7, 10, or 14 days)
3. Select an ascertainment adjustment factor (from 2 to 10)
(a value of 5 would assume that for every detected cases, we are missing 4 that have gone undetected)
4. The "risk" pertains to the probability that 1 or more people with COVID-19 will be at the event.
Please note: THIS DOES NOT REPRESENT A PERSON'S RISK OF TRANSMISSION.
That must take into account characteristics of people at the meeting (e.g., age, job, socioeconomic standing, mitigation behaviors), and of the meeting itself (e.g., outdoors, masking, distancing, ventilation). This is meant to be used as a loose gauge for planning purposes and to translate daily cases and rates into a more interpretable metric. Because zip code-level data are not reliable in Florida, and socioeconomic indicators of cases are not provided at the case level, the tool must assume cases are evenly distributed throughout a county, which they are most often not.